By Owain Flanders · Sep 3, 2026
JD Vance Headlines Relaunch of US Manufacturing Workforce: Odds for 2028 Presidency at 21%
Market Affected: JD Vance - 2028 U.S. Presidential Election Winner
By Owain Flanders · Aug 30, 2026
Israel Signs Defense Pact With Turkey's Regional Rival: Odds of Clash Down to 13%
Market Affected: Israel-Turkey Military Clash Before 2027?
By Owain Flanders · Aug 26, 2026
US-Canada Trade War Intensifies: Kalshi Odds of US Taking Canadian Territory Rise
Market Affected: Will the US Take Control of Any Part of Canada Before 2029?
By Owain Flanders · Aug 23, 2026
Race for US Senate Control at 50/50 With Prediction Markets: What This Means for Trump Impeachment
Market Affected: Democrats - 2026 U.S. Senate Control
By Owain Flanders · Aug 21, 2026
Israel-Turkey Tensions Rise: Odds of Military Clash Spike to 19% on Polymarket
Market Affected: Israel-Turkey Military Clash Before 2027?
By Owain Flanders · Aug 21, 2026
Turkey Requests Interpol Red Notice for Netanyahu: Odds of 2026 Arrest at 10% With Kalshi
Market Affected: Will Benjamin Netanyahu Be Arrested?
By Owain Flanders · Aug 17, 2026
Trump Cuts Military Drills With South Korea, Cites Kim Jong Un Ties: Invasion Odds Unmoved
Market Affected: Donald Trump - 2028 U.S. Presidential Election Winner
By Owain Flanders · Aug 13, 2026
AOC Distances From Woke 1.0: Now Favored as Democratic Nominee, as per Polymarket
Market Affected: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez - 2028 U.S. Presidential Election Winner
By Owain Flanders · Aug 11, 2026
Trump Backs JD Vance: Lead Over Rubio Widest Since May, as Per Polymarket
Market Affected: JD Vance - 2028 U.S. Presidential Election Winner
By Owain Flanders · Aug 9, 2026
Talarico Leads for Texas Senate in Four Consecutive Polls: Prediction Markets Remain Near-Dead Heat
Market Affected: Texas Senate Winner - 2026