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Live Odds - Will JD Vance win?
Best available price: Kalshi (+1.7 pts)
Last checked just now · refreshes automatically every 30s
Price History
KalshiPolymarket
Sep 6, 2026Kalshi23.0%Polymarket24.6%
Just In
New Polling Shows Where Vance Stands Against Democrat Opponents in 2028 Presidential Election
Trump Told Donors 'We Need to Elect JD,' Source Confirms, as He Weighs Vance or Rubio in 2028
Marco Rubio Surging as JD Vance Drops Double Digits in New 2028 Poll
Vance Tells Joe Rogan Trump Team 'Mishandled' Epstein Case, Alleges Intel Ties
Vance Says Israeli Campaign Tried to Sway US Opinion Against Iran Diplomacy
Vance: Reaction to False Michelle Obama Insult at White House UFC Fight Was 'Totally Disproportionate'
New Polling Shows Where Vance Stands Against Democrat Opponents in 2028 Presidential Election
Trump Told Donors 'We Need to Elect JD,' Source Confirms, as He Weighs Vance or Rubio in 2028
Marco Rubio Surging as JD Vance Drops Double Digits in New 2028 Poll
Vance Tells Joe Rogan Trump Team 'Mishandled' Epstein Case, Alleges Intel Ties
Vance Says Israeli Campaign Tried to Sway US Opinion Against Iran Diplomacy
Vance: Reaction to False Michelle Obama Insult at White House UFC Fight Was 'Totally Disproportionate'
Market Brief
- Vance hit an all-time-high of 33% last October but has declined throughout 2026, dropping behind Rubio for the first time in July.
- Trump's circle and the general public aren't sure about Vance, and it has shown in approval ratings hitting a new low in April.
- He has had many controversial moments this year, including alleging the Epstein case was "mishandled" and insulting Michelle Obama.
How This Resolves
- Resolves to whoever is inaugurated President in January 2029, based on AP/Fox/NBC race calls.
News & Context
New Polling Shows Where Vance Stands Against Democrat Opponents in 2028 Presidential Election
Trump Told Donors 'We Need to Elect JD,' Source Confirms, as He Weighs Vance or Rubio in 2028
Marco Rubio Surging as JD Vance Drops Double Digits in New 2028 Poll
Vance Says Israeli Campaign Tried to Sway US Opinion Against Iran Diplomacy
Vance Tells Joe Rogan Trump Team 'Mishandled' Epstein Case, Alleges Intel Ties
Vance: Reaction to False Michelle Obama Insult at White House UFC Fight Was 'Totally Disproportionate'
What to Watch
- 2026-11-03US midterm elections - a strong or weak GOP showing will reshape 2028 field narratives
- 2027 (TBD)Expected window for major contenders to formally launch or rule out 2028 campaigns
- 2028-01 (TBD)Iowa caucuses - traditionally the first nominating contest; exact date not yet set
- 2028-02 (TBD)New Hampshire primary - exact date not yet set
- 2028 Summer (TBD)Republican National Convention - nominee formally confirmed
- 2028 Fall (TBD)General election debates
- 2028-11-07Election Day - market resolution
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