Stephen Curry Leaves the Warriors

The conversation regarding a Steph Curry exit from the Warriors heated up after LeBron James turned down a move to the team in favor of the 76ers in July.
Some bettors believe Curry may be looking for the door due to the lack of a big-name signing at Golden State, with the team failing to seal the deal with LeBron, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jaylen Brown, and Anthony Davis.
A recent report suggested the Boston Celtics had approached the Warriors with a deal for Curry that could work for both sides - that boosted their odds of signing him to 10%+ - but it was later revealed as a misreport.
Curry has repeatedly claimed that he wants to retire with the team that drafted him (Golden State) and is eligible to negotiate a contract extension in August this year.

By Owain Flanders · Updated by hand Aug 5, 2026

How This Resolves

The live odds below are Kalshi-only, tracking the 'stays with Golden State' side directly. Polymarket has a genuinely matching market, but it's framed as the inverse binary - "Does Stephen Curry leave the Warriors?" - so its own site currently shows about 6% Yes (leaves), the mirror of Kalshi's roughly 83% (stays). Both numbers point the same direction; they're just quoted from opposite sides of the same question, so they aren't shown side-by-side in one widget here.
Kalshi's own wording: "If Steph Curry's next team is Stays with Golden State or Retires before Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
One real gap between the platforms: Kalshi's cutoff is Oct 21, 2026, while Polymarket's is Oct 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

News & Context

What to Watch

2026-08-29
Curry becomes eligible to sign a new extension with Golden State - a deal here would likely end the speculation outright
Ongoing
Further comment from Warriors ownership or front office on a 'post-Curry' direction
2026-10-21
Kalshi's resolution cutoff - market resolves
2026-10-22
Polymarket's resolution cutoff - one day later than Kalshi's