Prediction market prices reflect trader sentiment, not a guaranteed outcome. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a promise of any return.
Price History
Houston RocketsCleveland Cavaliers
Sep 7, 2026Houston Rockets91.0%Cleveland Cavaliers1.0%
Houston Rockets
Live Odds - Will Kevin Durant stay with the Rockets?
Last checked just now · refreshes automatically every 30s
Cleveland Cavaliers
Live Odds - Will Kevin Durant's next team be the Cavaliers?
Last checked just now · refreshes automatically every 30s
Just In
Rockets Predicted to Trade Kevin Durant to Cavs for $411M Former MVP in 4-Team Blockbuster Deal
Pistons Target Kevin Durant to Join Cade Cunningham in Proposed 3-Team Trade
Cavaliers Could Attempt Kevin Durant Trade as Final Summer Move
Cavaliers Proposed to Land Kevin Durant in Blockbuster 3-Team Trade for 3 Stars
Report: Kevin Durant 'Not Untouchable' for Rockets and Wants to Play With Cade Cunningham
Rockets Predicted to Trade Kevin Durant to Cavs for $411M Former MVP in 4-Team Blockbuster Deal
Pistons Target Kevin Durant to Join Cade Cunningham in Proposed 3-Team Trade
Cavaliers Could Attempt Kevin Durant Trade as Final Summer Move
Cavaliers Proposed to Land Kevin Durant in Blockbuster 3-Team Trade for 3 Stars
Report: Kevin Durant 'Not Untouchable' for Rockets and Wants to Play With Cade Cunningham
Market Brief
- At 37 years of age, Kevin Durant is far from slowing down, bagging 26 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 4.8 assists per game this season.
- Despite this, the Rockets have reportedly told rivals that a deal for Durant is not completely out of the question.
- Sports media personality Nick Pedone added fuel to the transfer-speculation fire when he said he could see a deal between the Cavs and Houston happening.
- Pedone called Durant 'probably the last big fish remaining this offseason' for a Cavaliers team already built around Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, and Evan Mobley.
- Remaining at Houston is still the most likely scenario, but stranger things have happened, and the price for the Cavs is increasing as the rumor mill turns.
How This Resolves
- Resolves to whichever team Kevin Durant is officially under contract with, or takes the floor for, during the 2026-27 NBA season - if he's still with Houston or has retired by the close date, that resolves the 'Houston Rockets' side to Yes instead.
- Kalshi's own wording: "If Kevin Durant's next team is Stays with Houston or Retires before Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
- No genuinely matching Polymarket market exists for this one, so this page is Kalshi-only.
News & Context
Rockets Predicted to Trade Kevin Durant to Cavs for $411M Former MVP in 4-Team Blockbuster Deal- Report: Kevin Durant 'Not Untouchable' for Rockets and Wants to Play With Cade Cunningham
- Cavaliers Proposed to Land Kevin Durant in Blockbuster 3-Team Trade for 3 Stars
- Cavaliers Could Attempt Kevin Durant Trade as Final Summer Move
Pistons Target Kevin Durant to Join Cade Cunningham in Proposed 3-Team Trade
What to Watch
- OngoingAny official trade announcement from the Rockets or an acquiring team - this would resolve the market immediately
- OngoingFurther reporting on Cleveland's interest, or renewed Detroit trade talk given Durant's own public comments
- 2026-10-21Kalshi's resolution cutoff - market resolves
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