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Live Odds - Will The Odyssey win Best Picture?
Last checked just now · refreshes automatically every 30s
Price History
Kalshi
Sep 6, 2026Kalshi53.0%
Just In
The Odyssey Translator Emily Wilson Slams Christopher Nolan Movie
'The Odyssey' Oscar Odds Surge After Another Box-Office Win
'The Odyssey' Is the Oscar Frontrunner, but What's the Path to Another Best Picture Win for Christopher Nolan?
The Odyssey: Why Christopher Nolan's Movie Had Huge Box Office Opening
'The Odyssey' Makes History at Global Box Office for Christopher Nolan
'The Odyssey' Rotten Tomatoes Score Is an Epic Record-Breaker for Christopher Nolan
The Odyssey Translator Emily Wilson Slams Christopher Nolan Movie
'The Odyssey' Oscar Odds Surge After Another Box-Office Win
'The Odyssey' Is the Oscar Frontrunner, but What's the Path to Another Best Picture Win for Christopher Nolan?
The Odyssey: Why Christopher Nolan's Movie Had Huge Box Office Opening
'The Odyssey' Makes History at Global Box Office for Christopher Nolan
'The Odyssey' Rotten Tomatoes Score Is an Epic Record-Breaker for Christopher Nolan
Market Brief
- The Odyssey is the latest release from acclaimed director Christopher Nolan, who already secured Academy Award success in 2024 for Oppenheimer, winning Best Director and Best Picture.
- Critics are almost unanimous in their praise of The Odyssey, which opened to $123.5M in the US and $263.7M worldwide in July.
- Thanks to a stellar cast and an impressive IMAX format, it's Nolan's biggest global debut ever, which is no mean feat given a back catalog that includes The Dark Knight and Inception.
- Biggest competitors in this category, according to prediction markets, include upcoming releases Dune: Part Three and Digger.
How This Resolves
- Resolves on the official Best Picture winner announced at the 99th Academy Awards ceremony.
- Kalshi's own wording: "If The Odyssey has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes."
- No Polymarket winner market exists yet - Polymarket currently only lists a separate Best Picture NOMINATIONS market for The Odyssey (a different question: whether it's nominated at all, not whether it wins), so this page tracks Kalshi only until/unless Polymarket opens an equivalent winner market.
News & Context
The Odyssey Translator Emily Wilson Slams Christopher Nolan Movie
'The Odyssey' Oscar Odds Surge After Another Box-Office Win
The Odyssey: Why Christopher Nolan's Movie Had Huge Box Office Opening
'The Odyssey' Makes History at Global Box Office for Christopher Nolan
'The Odyssey' Is the Oscar Frontrunner, but What's the Path to Another Best Picture Win for Christopher Nolan?
'The Odyssey' Rotten Tomatoes Score Is an Epic Record-Breaker for Christopher Nolan
What to Watch
- 2027-01-21Oscar nominations announced - confirms The Odyssey, and the rest of the Best Picture field, officially
- OngoingGuild awards (PGA, DGA, SAG Ensemble, WGA) through Dec 2026-Feb 2027 - historically the strongest predictors of the actual Best Picture winner
- OngoingCritics' groups (National Board of Review, NYFCC, LAFCA) announcements starting December 2026
- 2027-03-1499th Academy Awards ceremony - market resolution
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