Culture
Best Picture Winner - 99th Academy Awards

The Odyssey - Best Picture Winner, 99th Academy Awards

Live odds from Kalshi. Resolves Mar 14, 2027 ·

Prediction market prices reflect trader sentiment, not a guaranteed outcome. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a promise of any return.
Kalshi
Chance of Yes52.0%
Bid 52.0% / Ask 53.0%
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Kalshi
0%30%60%Mar 21Sep 6
Sep 6, 2026Kalshi53.0%
  • The Odyssey is the latest release from acclaimed director Christopher Nolan, who already secured Academy Award success in 2024 for Oppenheimer, winning Best Director and Best Picture.
  • Critics are almost unanimous in their praise of The Odyssey, which opened to $123.5M in the US and $263.7M worldwide in July.
  • Thanks to a stellar cast and an impressive IMAX format, it's Nolan's biggest global debut ever, which is no mean feat given a back catalog that includes The Dark Knight and Inception.
  • Biggest competitors in this category, according to prediction markets, include upcoming releases Dune: Part Three and Digger.
By Owain Flanders · Updated by hand Jul 27, 2026
  • Resolves on the official Best Picture winner announced at the 99th Academy Awards ceremony.
  • Kalshi's own wording: "If The Odyssey has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • No Polymarket winner market exists yet - Polymarket currently only lists a separate Best Picture NOMINATIONS market for The Odyssey (a different question: whether it's nominated at all, not whether it wins), so this page tracks Kalshi only until/unless Polymarket opens an equivalent winner market.
  • 2027-01-21
    Oscar nominations announced - confirms The Odyssey, and the rest of the Best Picture field, officially
  • Ongoing
    Guild awards (PGA, DGA, SAG Ensemble, WGA) through Dec 2026-Feb 2027 - historically the strongest predictors of the actual Best Picture winner
  • Ongoing
    Critics' groups (National Board of Review, NYFCC, LAFCA) announcements starting December 2026
  • 2027-03-14
    99th Academy Awards ceremony - market resolution