Next James Bond Actor

No Time to Die, the James Bond movie in which Daniel Craig gave his final performance, was released in 2021, since then the debate over who should be the next Bond has been ongoing.
It has proven a particularly volatile market on prediction markets, with the frontrunner changing several times in this year alone.
A casting list has now revealed names of six actors being considered, including Callum Turner, Jack Lowden, Harris Dickinson, Paul Mescal, Jacob Elordi, and shock entry Jack Barton.
In fact, Barton is supposedly the front runner for the role, if reports are to be believed, with many fans shocked by the new favorite since he is relatively unknown.
Amy Pascal, the new Bond producer, has implied an actor would be unveiled this year, with filming due to begin in 2027 on a new installment.

By Owain Flanders · Updated by hand Aug 27, 2026

How This Resolves

Resolves Yes for whichever actor is officially cast as the next James Bond before January 1, 2030 - unauthorized productions and spin-offs don't count.
Kalshi's own wording: "If [Actor] is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes."
This page is Kalshi-only - Polymarket's equivalent market has a different structure (a fixed resolution date plus a standalone "No Bond chosen" outcome), so the two aren't directly comparable the way our usual Kalshi-vs-Polymarket pages are.

News & Context

What to Watch

Ongoing
Any official casting announcement from Amazon MGM or Eon Productions
Ongoing
Further comments from Richard Osman or other industry insiders that could move the market again
Ongoing
Formal actor auditions/meetings, last reported as expected around August 2026
2030-01-01
Kalshi's resolution cutoff