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Carlos Alcaraz
Live Odds - Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open Men's Singles?
Best available price: Polymarket (+1 pts)
Last checked just now · refreshes automatically every 30s
Price History
KalshiPolymarket
Sep 6, 2026Kalshi50.0%Polymarket59.5%
Alexander Zverev
Live Odds - Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 US Open Men's Singles?
Best available price: Polymarket (+1.5 pts)
Last checked just now · refreshes automatically every 30s
Price History
KalshiPolymarket
Sep 6, 2026Kalshi24.0%Polymarket22.3%
Ben Shelton
Live Odds - Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 US Open Men's Singles?
Best available price: Polymarket (+0.7 pts)
Last checked just now · refreshes automatically every 30s
Price History
KalshiPolymarket
Sep 6, 2026Kalshi8.0%Polymarket5.8%
Taylor Fritz
Live Odds - Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 US Open Men's Singles?
Best available price: Polymarket (+99.9 pts)
Last checked just now · refreshes automatically every 30s
Price History
KalshiPolymarket
Sep 6, 2026Kalshi1.0%Polymarket9.9%
Rafael Jodar
Live Odds - Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 US Open Men's Singles?
Best available price: Polymarket (+99.9 pts)
Last checked just now · refreshes automatically every 30s
Price History
KalshiPolymarket
Sep 3, 2026Kalshi1.0%Polymarket0.1%
Just In
Novak Djokovic Loses in Opening Round of US Open for First Time, Falling in 5 Sets to Mariano Navone
2026 US Open Men's Odds: Alcaraz Favored to Defend Title Without Sinner
2026 US Open Draw Results, Full List of Men's Quarters Matches
Top-Ranked Jannik Sinner Withdraws From US Open With Right Knee Injury: 'Sad and Disappointed'
Novak Djokovic Loses in Opening Round of US Open for First Time, Falling in 5 Sets to Mariano Navone
2026 US Open Men's Odds: Alcaraz Favored to Defend Title Without Sinner
2026 US Open Draw Results, Full List of Men's Quarters Matches
Top-Ranked Jannik Sinner Withdraws From US Open With Right Knee Injury: 'Sad and Disappointed'
Market Brief
- The competition has seen drama from the first round, firstly in the premature exit of Novak Djokovic after a shock early defeat and secondly in the withdrawal of world No.1 Jannik Sinner with a knee injury.
- Many believe this has left the door open for Carlos Alcaraz even though a wrist injury has forced him off of the courts for the past five months.
- Alcaraz put any doubt to bed though after defeating Roman Safiullin 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 in his first game back, with former US Open Champ Andy Roddick even commenting that Alcaraz's forehand speed seemed higher than last year.
- Alexander Zverev is now the tournament's top remaining seed but remains second to Alcaraz in the odds at around 21%, while Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz trail behind.
- The final is scheduled for Sunday, September 13.
- Alcaraz's straight-sets win over Safiullin has pushed him further clear at 37%, with Zverev now second at 20% after a scare against Lorenzo Sonego.
How This Resolves
- Resolves Yes for whichever player wins the 2026 US Open Men's Singles title - only the five most-backed contenders are tracked on this page, out of 35+ players still listed on Kalshi and 49+ on Polymarket.
- Kalshi's own wording (per player): "If [Player] wins the 2026 US Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes." A player who withdraws or is otherwise eliminated from contention resolves No immediately, without waiting for the tournament to finish.
- Both of the tournament's top seeds are already out and resolved No: Jannik Sinner withdrew before his opening match with a knee injury, and Novak Djokovic lost in the first round to Mariano Navone - the first time he's ever lost that early at the US Open.
- One real gap between the platforms: Polymarket's cutoff is Sep 13, 2026, while Kalshi's runs a little later, expected around Sep 14, 2026 once the final concludes.
News & Context
Novak Djokovic Loses in Opening Round of US Open for First Time, Falling in 5 Sets to Mariano Navone
2026 US Open Men's Odds: Alcaraz Favored to Defend Title Without Sinner
2026 US Open Draw Results, Full List of Men's Quarters Matches
Top-Ranked Jannik Sinner Withdraws From US Open With Right Knee Injury: 'Sad and Disappointed'
What to Watch
- 2026-09-11Men's semifinals
- 2026-09-13Men's final - Polymarket's resolution cutoff
- OngoingAny further injury news or withdrawals among the remaining top contenders
- 2026-09-14Kalshi's expected resolution, shortly after the final concludes
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